tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 1 hLightning <1 minWeather observations 2 minFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 5 min
Forecast Significant Resolved Cancellation BOS departures

Model expects about 8 cancellations among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Friday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Create monitor View BOSFlights at BOS

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 8 cancellations among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 117 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetBOS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.5 over 117 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonThu Nov 12, 10:00 PM EST · 10.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 03:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 13, 9:01 AM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.