tailodds FORECAST
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Forecast Significant New Cancellation SEA departures

Model expects about 8 cancellations among Seattle departures noon–3 PM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 8 cancellations among Seattle departures noon–3 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 93 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetSEA departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.6 over 93 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 1:00 AM PST · 10.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 09:58 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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