Model raises expected cancellations to about 12 among Boston departures 3–6 PM Saturday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 7 cancellations among Boston departures 3–6 PM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 79 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BOS departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~6.7 over 79 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 4:00 AM EST · 10.0 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 09:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 12 among Boston departures 3–6 PM Saturday
What changed: about 7 → 12 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 79 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BOS departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~12.2 over 79 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 5:00 AM EST · 9.1 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 10:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?