Model lowers expected cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 PM Saturday to about 1
- Current state
- Resolved at 9:56 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 5 cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 PM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (24%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 AM MST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.1 over 21 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 8:00 AM MST · 9.1 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 15:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 PM Saturday to about 1
What changed: about 5 → 1
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 1 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~1.2 over 21 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 9:00 AM MST · 8.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 16:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?