tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 81 minLightning <1 minWeather observations 2 minFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 5 min
Forecast Major New Cancellation EWR departures

Model expects about 5 cancellations among Newark departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 5 cancellations among Newark departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 42 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetEWR departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.4 over 42 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 12:00 PM EST · 8.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 17:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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