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Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation SLC departures

Model lowers expected cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 PM Saturday to about 2

Current state
Resolved at 11:55 AM MST
Started
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 7 cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (31%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetSLC departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.6 over 21 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 10:00 AM MST · 7.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 17:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Resolution Forecast

    Model lowers expected cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 PM Saturday to about 2

    What changed: about 7 → 2

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetSLC departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~1.8 over 21 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 11:00 AM MST · 6.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 18:55 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?