Model raises expected cancellations to about 6 among Salt Lake City departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday
- Current state
- Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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- Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 6 cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 34 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Saturday to be cancelled (18%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~6.0 over 34 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 1:00 PM MST · 7.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 20:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Salt Lake City departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday
What changed: about 6 → 4 expected cancellations since the 1:00 PM MST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 34 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Saturday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~4.2 over 34 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 4:00 PM MST · 4.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 23:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 6 among Salt Lake City departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday
What changed: about 4 → 6 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM MST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 33 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Saturday to be cancelled (17%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.6 over 33 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 5:00 PM MST · 2.6 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 01:25 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?
Closed Sat Nov 14, 9:01 PM MST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.