Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 AM Sunday
- Current state
- Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 7 cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 AM Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 50 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~7.0 over 50 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 8:00 PM MST · 9.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 03:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 AM Sunday
What changed: about 7 → 9 expected cancellations since the 8:00 PM MST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 50 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (18%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~9.1 over 50 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 10:00 PM MST · 7.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 05:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 7 among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 AM Sunday
What changed: about 9 → 7 expected cancellations since the 10:00 PM MST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 50 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~7.4 over 50 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 11:00 PM MST · 5.6 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 07:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 6 among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 AM Sunday
What changed: about 7 → 6 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM MST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 50 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 12:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.6 over 50 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 12:00 AM MST · 4.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 AM Sunday
What changed: about 6 → 3 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM MST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 51 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 3:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SLC departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~3.5 over 51 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 3:00 AM MST · 2.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 10:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?
Closed Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM MST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.