Model lowers expected cancellations among Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Sunday to about 1
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:56 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 8 cancellations among Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 26 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Sunday to be cancelled (32%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target IND departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~8.3 over 26 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 5:00 AM EST · 3.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 10:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Sunday to about 1
What changed: about 8 → 1
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 1 of the 26 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Sunday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target IND departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~1.4 over 26 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM EST · 2.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 11:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?