Model lowers expected cancellations among Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Sunday to about 2
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:56 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 12 cancellations among Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 35 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (33%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target IND departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~11.5 over 35 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 5:00 AM EST · 9.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 10:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Sunday to about 2
What changed: about 12 → 2
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 35 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target IND departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~1.8 over 35 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM EST · 8.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 11:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?