Model lowers expected cancellations among Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Sunday to about 2
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:56 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
-
Initial Forecast
Model expects about 10 cancellations among Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 28 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (36%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target IND departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~10.0 over 28 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 5:00 AM EST · 6.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 10:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Sunday to about 2
What changed: about 10 → 2
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 28 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target IND departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~1.7 over 28 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM EST · 5.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 11:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?