tailodds FORECAST
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Forecast Significant New Delay SLC departures

Model forecasts 51% delay risk for Salt Lake City departures 3–6 PM Sunday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model forecasts 51% delay risk for Salt Lake City departures 3–6 PM Sunday

    Tailodds’ model gives the 94 departures scheduled from Salt Lake City 3–6 PM Sunday an average 51% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 21%. From the 6:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetSLC departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)51% over 94 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 15, 6:00 AM MST · 7.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 14:25 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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