Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:40 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 3
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix departures running late: 62% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 16 departures that took off between 10:50 PM and 11:50 PM MST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:50 PM–11:50 PM MST Sample 16 flights, 10 late (62%) Comparison 19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour Median delay 22.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-20 06:50 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 43% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 62% → 43%
Of 14 departures that took off between 11:25 PM and 12:25 AM MST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:25 PM–12:25 AM MST Sample 14 flights, 6 late (43%) Comparison 19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour Median delay 10.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-20 07:25 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 67% at worst → 0% now
Of 16 departures that took off between 5:40 AM and 6:40 AM MST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:40 AM–6:40 AM MST Sample 16 flights, 0 late (0%) Comparison 5% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour Median delay -5.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-20 13:40 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?