Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 4% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 7:05 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 3
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix arrivals running late: 55% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 20 arrivals that landed between 11:00 PM and 12:00 AM MST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:00 PM–12:00 AM MST Sample 20 flights, 11 late (55%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 26.5 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-20 07:00 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 55% → 75%
Of 12 arrivals that landed between 11:41 PM and 12:41 AM MST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:41 PM–12:41 AM MST Sample 12 flights, 9 late (75%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 38.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-20 07:41 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 4% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 75% at worst → 4% now
Of 25 arrivals that landed between 6:05 AM and 7:05 AM MST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 6:05 AM–7:05 AM MST Sample 25 flights, 1 late (4%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -16.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-20 14:05 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?