tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Major Resolved Delay MDW arrivals

Midway arrival delays worsen: 60% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View MDWFlights at MDW

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Midway arrivals running late: 62% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 13 arrivals that landed between 5:59 PM and 6:59 PM CDT, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Midway arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:59 PM–6:59 PM CDT
    Sample13 flights, 8 late (62%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay27.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-22 23:59 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. De-escalation Observed

    Midway arrival delays ease: 32% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 62% → 32%

    Of 19 arrivals that landed between 7:54 PM and 8:54 PM CDT, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Midway arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:54 PM–8:54 PM CDT
    Sample19 flights, 6 late (32%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay10.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 01:54 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. Escalation Observed

    Midway arrival delays worsen: 60% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 32% → 60%

    Of 15 arrivals that landed between 8:47 PM and 9:47 PM CDT, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Midway arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window8:47 PM–9:47 PM CDT
    Sample15 flights, 9 late (60%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay27.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 02:47 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Oct 23, 4:51 AM CDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.