tailodds FORECAST

Wire

Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

Live · checked FAA national advisories 5 minFAA NAS status 3 minForecast cycle 89 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 2 minFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 3 min
News desk major developments and corrections Airport operations restrictions, deterioration, recovery
Passenger events at your flight's airports

Enter a flight: you see events at its departure and arrival airports, including tight aircraft turns there. Your own flight’s inbound aircraft is on its flight page.

Airline analyst not yet available

Airline analyst: Every MVP detector is airport-wide, so a carrier view would only repeat the airport feed.

Filters (2)
Event type
Evidence
Location
Metro areas

Departures: events affecting flights leaving the airport. Arrivals: flights going to it.

Severity
Status
Published
Forecast horizon
h

A horizon shows forecasts only: hours from the forecast to the start of the period it’s about.

Time zone

“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

Clear
Type: Cancellation ×Airport: DCA × Clear filters
Cards Terminal
Latest per event All updates
EDT, Oct 17 27 days ago
Forecast Informational Resolved Resolution Cancellation DCA departures

Model lowers expected cancellations among National departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 2

What changed: about 3 → 2

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 65 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~2 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View DCA

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

Create an alert from this view

Matches: Type: Cancellation · Airport: DCA. Alerts arrive as in-app notifications here; email isn’t switched on for this site.

Minimum severity
Which updates
Delivery
to

Corrections and retractions always reach you if you got the original, even if they no longer match. Nothing is sent outside Tailodds without email switched on.