tailodds FORECAST

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Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

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Passenger events at your flight's airports

Enter a flight: you see events at its departure and arrival airports, including tight aircraft turns there. Your own flight’s inbound aircraft is on its flight page.

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Departures: events affecting flights leaving the airport. Arrivals: flights going to it.

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Forecast horizon
h

A horizon shows forecasts only: hours from the forecast to the start of the period it’s about.

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“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

Clear
Type: Cancellation ×Airport: LAX × Clear filters
Cards Terminal
Latest per event All updates
PST, Nov 13 16 min ago
Forecast Significant New Cancellation LAX departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among LAX departures 6–9 AM Saturday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 108 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 11.0 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View LAX
PST, Nov 13 16 min ago
Forecast Major New Cancellation LAX departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among LAX departures midnight–3 AM Saturday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 34 departures scheduled midnight–3 AM Saturday to be cancelled (20%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~7 cancellationsHorizon 5.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View LAX
PST, Nov 13 16 min ago
Forecast Major Developing Escalation Cancellation LAX departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 33 among LAX departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

What changed: about 15 → 33 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 33 of the 97 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (34%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~33 cancellationsHorizon 2.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View LAX
PST, Nov 13 1 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation LAX departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 39 among LAX departures 6–9 PM Friday

What changed: about 24 → 39 expected cancellations since the 3:00 PM PST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 39 of the 111 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (35%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~39 cancellationsHorizon 0.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View LAX
PST, Nov 13 5 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation LAX departures

Model expects about 19 cancellations among LAX departures 3–6 PM Friday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 19 of the 110 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Friday to be cancelled (17%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~19 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View LAX

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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