Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.
Airline analyst: Every MVP detector is airport-wide, so a carrier view would only repeat the airport feed.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 108 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 34 departures scheduled midnight–3 AM Saturday to be cancelled (20%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 33 of the 97 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (34%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 39 of the 111 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (35%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 19 of the 110 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Friday to be cancelled (17%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
One row per event, newest activity first; + opens every update on the event. Times are EST.