Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.
Airline analyst: Every MVP detector is airport-wide, so a carrier view would only repeat the airport feed.
Of 19 arrivals that landed between 11:30 PM and 12:30 AM MST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 11:30 PM–12:30 AM MSTSample 19 flightsLate 47%Typical 20%
Of 15 departures that took off between 11:14 PM and 12:14 AM MST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 11:14 PM–12:14 AM MSTSample 15 flightsLate 47%Typical 19%
What changed: tight share 32% at worst → 0% now
Of the 13 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 11:45 PM and 1:15 AM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 11:45 PM–1:15 AM MSTTight turns 0 of 12Share 0%
Of the 54 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 8:01 PM and 9:31 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 44. For 13 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 8:01 PM–9:31 PM MSTTight turns 13 of 44Share 30%
What changed: slow share 54% at worst → 4% now
Of 28 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 10:35 AM and 11:35 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 1 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4 minutes; the median was 3.5 minutes. Usually 6% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why. The slow share has stayed at or below 14% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 10 landings and current data.
Landed 10:35 AM–11:35 AM MSTSample 28 arrivalsSlow 4%Usually 6%
What changed: slow share 51% → 26%
Of 38 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 9:50 AM and 10:50 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 10 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4 minutes; the median was 4.5 minutes. Usually 6% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why.
Landed 9:50 AM–10:50 AM MSTSample 38 arrivalsSlow 26%Usually 6%
Of 49 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 9:12 AM and 10:12 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 25 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4 minutes; the median was 16.8 minutes. Usually 6% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why.
Landed 9:12 AM–10:12 AM MSTSample 49 arrivalsSlow 51%Usually 6%
Of 16 arrivals that landed between 11:53 PM and 12:53 AM MST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 11:53 PM–12:53 AM MSTSample 16 flightsLate 44%Typical 20%
Of 14 departures that took off between 9:17 PM and 10:17 PM MST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 9:17 PM–10:17 PM MSTSample 14 flightsLate 57%Typical 34%
What changed: slow share 31% at worst → 0% now
Of 30 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 10:20 AM and 11:20 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 0 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4.1 minutes; the median was 3.5 minutes. Usually 6% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why. The slow share has stayed at or below 14% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 10 landings and current data.
Landed 10:20 AM–11:20 AM MSTSample 30 arrivalsSlow 0%Usually 6%
Of 48 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 9:22 AM and 10:22 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 15 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4.1 minutes; the median was 8.6 minutes. Usually 6% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why.
Landed 9:22 AM–10:22 AM MSTSample 48 arrivalsSlow 31%Usually 6%
What changed: late share 68% at worst → 6% now
Of 17 departures that took off between 5:52 AM and 6:52 AM MST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 30 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Window 5:52 AM–6:52 AM MSTSample 17 flightsLate 6%Typical 5%
Of 37 departures that took off between 5:15 PM and 6:15 PM MST, 22 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 5:15 PM–6:15 PM MSTSample 37 flightsLate 59%Typical 30%
What changed: slow share 45% at worst → 3% now
Of 31 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 10:26 AM and 11:26 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 1 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4.3 minutes; the median was 3.2 minutes. Usually 5% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why. The slow share has stayed at or below 13% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 10 landings and current data.
Landed 10:26 AM–11:26 AM MSTSample 31 arrivalsSlow 3%Usually 5%
Of 51 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 9:15 AM and 10:15 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 23 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4.3 minutes; the median was 11.4 minutes. Usually 5% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why.
Landed 9:15 AM–10:15 AM MSTSample 51 arrivalsSlow 45%Usually 5%
Of 14 arrivals that landed between 11:56 PM and 12:56 AM MST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 11:56 PM–12:56 AM MSTSample 14 flightsLate 57%Typical 20%
Of 14 departures that took off between 10:55 PM and 11:55 PM MST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 10:55 PM–11:55 PM MSTSample 14 flightsLate 43%Typical 19%
What changed: late share 69% at worst → 25% now
Of 20 departures that took off between 10:15 PM and 11:15 PM MST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Window 10:15 PM–11:15 PM MSTSample 20 flightsLate 25%Typical 31%
What changed: late share 69% → 54%
Of 13 departures that took off between 9:26 PM and 10:26 PM MST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 9:26 PM–10:26 PM MSTSample 13 flightsLate 54%Typical 34%
What changed: tight share 33% at worst → 9% now
Of the 26 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 10:18 PM and 11:48 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 22. For 2 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Next 10:18 PM–11:48 PM MSTTight turns 2 of 22Share 9%
Of 13 departures that took off between 9:06 PM and 10:06 PM MST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 9:06 PM–10:06 PM MSTSample 13 flightsLate 69%Typical 34%
Of the 45 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 6:50 PM and 8:20 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 34. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Next 6:50 PM–8:20 PM MSTTight turns 9 of 34Share 26%
What changed: late share 50% at worst → 3% now
Of 29 arrivals that landed between 6:21 AM and 7:21 AM MST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Window 6:21 AM–7:21 AM MSTSample 29 flightsLate 3%Typical 20%
What changed: late share 50% at worst → 6% now
Of 16 departures that took off between 5:34 AM and 6:34 AM MST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Window 5:34 AM–6:34 AM MSTSample 16 flightsLate 6%Typical 5%
Of 26 departures that took off between 10:52 PM and 11:52 PM MST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Window 10:52 PM–11:52 PM MSTSample 26 flightsLate 46%Typical 19%
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