Wire

Of the 13 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 11:45 PM and 1:15 AM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Of 28 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 10:35 AM and 11:35 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 1 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4 minutes; the median was 3.5 minutes. Usually 6% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why. The slow share has stayed at or below 14% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 10 landings and current data.

Of 30 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 10:20 AM and 11:20 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 0 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4.1 minutes; the median was 3.5 minutes. Usually 6% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why. The slow share has stayed at or below 14% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 10 landings and current data.

Of 17 departures that took off between 5:52 AM and 6:52 AM MST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 30 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

Of 31 aircraft that landed at Phoenix (PHX) between 10:26 AM and 11:26 AM MST and have reached the ramp, 1 took 14 minutes or more from touchdown, at least 10 minutes over the airport’s typical 4.3 minutes; the median was 3.2 minutes. Usually 5% take that long (this airport, the last 7 days). Measured by Tailodds from FAA surface surveillance; it does not show why. The slow share has stayed at or below 13% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 10 landings and current data.

Of 20 departures that took off between 10:15 PM and 11:15 PM MST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

Of the 26 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 10:18 PM and 11:48 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 22. For 2 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Of 29 arrivals that landed between 6:21 AM and 7:21 AM MST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

Of 16 departures that took off between 5:34 AM and 6:34 AM MST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

Of the 18 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 11:02 PM and 12:32 AM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 13. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Of 48 departures that took off between 11:07 AM and 12:07 PM MST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

Of 34 departures that took off between 12:30 PM and 1:30 PM MST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

FAA-reported departure delays at Phoenix (PHX) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 10:54 AM MST, in 3 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 10:24 AM MST.

Tailodds’ model gives the 172 departures scheduled from Phoenix noon–3 PM Tuesday an average 36% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 28%. From the 3:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Of 21 departures that took off between 10:24 PM and 11:24 PM MST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

FAA-reported departure delays at Phoenix (PHX) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 12:08 PM MST, in 3 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 11:59 AM MST.