YX 5768 · DCA → LGA

departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5768 · DCA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?