National aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 14 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 8:34 PM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
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Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National: 9 of 25 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 31 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 11:20 AM and 12:50 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 25. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 11:20 AM–12:50 PM EDT · 31 departures, aircraft known for 25 Tight turns 9 (36%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 4 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 1521 to STL at 11:57 AM: aircraft N9010T, inbound WN 4283 from MCO (airborne), -7 min to turn Tightest WN 1513 to MSY at 11:46 AM: aircraft N8719Q, inbound WN 3617 from DAL (airborne), 18 min to turn Tightest WN 1249 to CMH at 11:34 AM: aircraft N458WN, inbound WN 4963 from STL (landed), 19 min to turn Tightest OH 5641 to ECP at 11:35 AM: aircraft N710PS, inbound OH 5244 from DTW (airborne), 22 min to turn Tightest YX 4546 to LGA at 11:45 AM: aircraft N415YX, inbound YX 4754 from LGA (landed), 27 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 15:20 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 14 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 38% at worst → 0% now
Of the 22 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 8:34 PM and 10:04 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 14. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 8:34 PM–10:04 PM EDT · 22 departures, aircraft known for 14 Tight turns 0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 0 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 00:34 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?