National departures back near normal: 15% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 5:44 PM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National departures running late: 53% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 17 departures that took off between 11:28 AM and 12:28 PM EDT, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:28 AM–12:28 PM EDT Sample 17 flights, 9 late (53%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour Median delay 17.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 16:28 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National departures back near normal: 15% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 53% at worst → 15% now
Of 26 departures that took off between 4:44 PM and 5:44 PM EDT, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 37% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 4:44 PM–5:44 PM EDT Sample 26 flights, 4 late (15%) Comparison 37% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour Median delay 2.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 21:44 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?