Nashville aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 17 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:42 AM CDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Nashville: 10 of 26 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 31 departures scheduled from Nashville (BNA) between 10:55 AM and 12:25 PM CDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 26. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into BNA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 10:55 AM–12:25 PM CDT · 31 departures, aircraft known for 26 Tight turns 10 (38%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 1 not taken off · 8 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 2136 to DAL at 11:18 AM: aircraft N497WN, inbound WN 3355 from PHX (airborne), 2 min to turn Tightest WN 660 to MSY at 12:05 PM: aircraft N1805U, inbound WN 2837 from TUL (airborne), 16 min to turn Tightest WN 968 to GRR at 11:33 AM: aircraft N293WN, inbound WN 3199 from LGA (airborne), 24 min to turn Tightest WN 322 to DCA at 11:28 AM: aircraft N8649A, inbound WN 1544 from DEN (airborne), 26 min to turn Tightest WN 3250 to OMA at 12:08 PM: aircraft N8803L, inbound WN 2511 from RDU (airborne), 26 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 15:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Nashville: 16 of 35 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 38% → 46%
Of the 44 departures scheduled from Nashville (BNA) between 6:22 PM and 7:52 PM CDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 35. For 16 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into BNA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 6:22 PM–7:52 PM CDT · 44 departures, aircraft known for 35 Tight turns 16 (46%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 2 not taken off · 13 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 573 to JAN at 6:27 PM: aircraft N257WN, inbound WN 2838 from MDW (not departed), -114 min to turn Tightest WN 165 to AUS at 6:45 PM: aircraft N8914Q, inbound WN 1936 from SJC (airborne), -62 min to turn Tightest F9 3051 to DFW at 6:23 PM: aircraft N437FR, inbound F9 3052 from DFW (airborne), -26 min to turn Tightest WN 611 to MCI at 6:56 PM: aircraft N8670A, inbound WN 275 from AUS (airborne), -16 min to turn Tightest WN 724 to SFO at 7:33 PM: aircraft N8527Q, inbound WN 2701 from PHX (airborne), -11 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 23:22 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Nashville: 11 of 27 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 46% → 41%
Of the 34 departures scheduled from Nashville (BNA) between 6:51 PM and 8:21 PM CDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 27. For 11 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into BNA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 6:51 PM–8:21 PM CDT · 34 departures, aircraft known for 27 Tight turns 11 (41%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 8 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 611 to MCI at 6:56 PM: aircraft N8670A, inbound WN 275 from AUS (airborne), -16 min to turn Tightest WN 724 to SFO at 7:33 PM: aircraft N8527Q, inbound WN 2701 from PHX (airborne), -11 min to turn Tightest WN 662 to MSY at 7:39 PM: aircraft N8719Q, inbound WN 3700 from SAT (airborne), -7 min to turn Tightest WN 569 to HOU at 7:22 PM: aircraft N8737L, inbound WN 3317 from ORF (airborne), 1 min to turn Tightest WN 1088 to MCO at 6:54 PM: aircraft N8817L, inbound WN 4614 from MSP (airborne), 2 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 23:51 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Nashville aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 17 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 55% at worst → 0% now
Of the 23 departures scheduled from Nashville (BNA) between 4:42 AM and 6:12 AM CDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into BNA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 4:42 AM–6:12 AM CDT · 23 departures, aircraft known for 17 Tight turns 0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 0 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 09:42 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?