tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 225 h staleForecast cycle 2 hLightning 225 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 6 min

FAA NAS status is stale (225 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (225 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay BNA arrivals

Nashville arrivals back near normal: 9% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 7:13 AM CDT
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View BNAFlights at BNA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Nashville arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 14 arrivals that landed between 9:50 PM and 10:50 PM CDT, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Nashville arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:50 PM–10:50 PM CDT
    Sample14 flights, 7 late (50%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay24.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-24 03:50 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?
  2. Recovery Observed

    Nashville arrivals back near normal: 9% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 67% at worst → 9% now

    Of 23 arrivals that landed between 6:13 AM and 7:13 AM CDT, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Nashville arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:13 AM–7:13 AM CDT
    Sample23 flights, 2 late (9%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-17.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-24 12:13 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?