tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 223 h staleForecast cycle 61 minLightning 223 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 2 min

FAA NAS status is stale (223 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (223 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft DCA departures

National: 8 of 30 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View DCAFlights at DCA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    National: 8 of 30 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

    Of the 39 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 4:48 PM and 6:18 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 30. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled4:48 PM–6:18 PM EDT · 39 departures, aircraft known for 30
    Tight turns8 (27%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in0 not taken off · 4 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestAA 1947 to SAT at 4:59 PM: aircraft N812AW, inbound AA 3142 from PVD (airborne), 0 min to turn
    TightestOH 5236 to HPN at 4:59 PM: aircraft N501BG, inbound OH 5366 from GSO (airborne), 4 min to turn
    TightestAA 655 to DFW at 5:01 PM: aircraft N200NV, inbound AA 1414 from DFW (airborne), 9 min to turn
    TightestWN 1502 to MCO at 4:49 PM: aircraft N458WN, inbound WN 4365 from BNA (landed), 27 min to turn
    TightestWN 2242 to AUS at 5:01 PM: aircraft N8682B, inbound WN 1668 from MCO (landed), 27 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-17 20:48 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sun Oct 18, 2:03 AM EDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.