SFO arrivals back near normal: 23% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 1:38 PM PDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
SFO arrivals running late: 60% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 35 arrivals that landed between 10:41 AM and 11:41 AM PDT, 21 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:41 AM–11:41 AM PDT Sample 35 flights, 21 late (60%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 24.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-27 18:41 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
SFO arrival delays worsen: 69% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 60% → 69%
Of 36 arrivals that landed between 11:20 AM and 12:20 PM PDT, 25 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:20 AM–12:20 PM PDT Sample 36 flights, 25 late (69%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 36.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-27 19:20 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
SFO arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 69% → 50%
Of 34 arrivals that landed between 11:41 AM and 12:41 PM PDT, 17 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:41 AM–12:41 PM PDT Sample 34 flights, 17 late (50%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 28.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-27 19:41 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
SFO arrivals back near normal: 23% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 71% at worst → 23% now
Of 26 arrivals that landed between 12:38 PM and 1:38 PM PDT, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:38 PM–1:38 PM PDT Sample 26 flights, 6 late (23%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -2.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-27 20:38 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?