tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 224 h staleForecast cycle 2 hLightning 224 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min

FAA NAS status is stale (224 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (224 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay PHX departures

Phoenix departures back near normal: 15% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 7:51 PM MST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View PHXFlights at PHX

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Phoenix departures running late: 54% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 46 departures that took off between 4:05 PM and 5:05 PM MST, 25 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:05 PM–5:05 PM MST
    Sample46 flights, 25 late (54%)
    Comparison30% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour
    Median delay20.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 00:05 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    Phoenix departures back near normal: 15% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 66% at worst → 15% now

    Of 20 departures that took off between 6:51 PM and 7:51 PM MST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:51 PM–7:51 PM MST
    Sample20 flights, 3 late (15%)
    Comparison32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour
    Median delay-7.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 02:51 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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