tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 232 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 232 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min

FAA NAS status is stale (232 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (232 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

ConfirmedObserved Significant Resolved Weather MIA arrivals and departures

Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Miami

Current state
Resolved at 3:00 PM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Lightning within 10 nm of Miami: 5 flashes in 15 minutes

    Tailodds counted 5 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Miami (MIA) in the 15 minutes to 9:21 AM EST, 3 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 4.7 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 8:53 AM EST, reports ceiling 3500 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 13 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KMIA 011353Z COR 09013KT 10SM SCT020 BKN035 BKN130 OVC180 27/24 A3007 RMK AO2 PK WND 11026/1318 SLP182 CB DSNT E-S AND NW-N MOV W T02720239 $
    StationKMIA at Sun Nov 1, 8:53 AM EST
    Lightning5 flashes within 10 nm, 3 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 9:21 AM, nearest 4.7 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 14:21 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Lightning now within 5 nm of Miami: 12 flashes in 15 minutes

    What changed: lightning within 10 nm → lightning within 5 nm

    Tailodds counted 20 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Miami (MIA) in the 15 minutes to 9:31 AM EST, 12 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 3.9 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 9:23 AM EST, reports light thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 2000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 15 kt gusting to 28 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KMIA 011423Z 11015G28KT 10SM -TSRA BKN020CB BKN050 OVC170 26/23 A3009 RMK AO2 PK WND 11028/1414 RAB15 TSE14B21 OCNL LTGICCG E-S TS E-S MOV W CB DSNT SW P0000 T02560228 $
    StationKMIA at Sun Nov 1, 9:23 AM EST
    Lightning20 flashes within 10 nm, 12 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 9:31 AM, nearest 3.9 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 14:31 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Confirmed

    Official observation now reports light thunderstorm with rain at Miami

    What changed: lightning within 5 nm → light thunderstorm with rain

    The 12:53 PM EST official weather observation (METAR) for Miami (MIA) reports light thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 2500 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 14 kt gusting to 19 kt. Coded weather: “-TSRA”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 33 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 1:03 PM EST, the nearest 1.8 nm away. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KMIA 011753Z COR 08014G19KT 10SM -TSRA BKN025CB OVC100 23/21 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP173 OCNL LTGIC E-S TS E-S MOV N P0016 60104 T02330211 10278 20233 58019 $
    StationKMIA at Sun Nov 1, 12:53 PM EST
    Lightning33 flashes within 10 nm, 4 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 1:03 PM, nearest 1.8 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 18:03 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Resolution Confirmed

    Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Miami

    What changed: light thunderstorm with rain → no longer reported

    No official weather observation (METAR) for Miami (MIA) in the last 50 minutes reports a thunderstorm; it was last reported at 1:53 PM EST. The latest, at 2:30 PM EST, reports rain, ceiling 11000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 3 kt. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data shows no flash within 10 nm of Miami in the 30 minutes to 3:00 PM EST.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KMIA 011930Z VRB03KT 10SM RA FEW010 FEW022 OVC110 24/22 A3004 RMK AO2 TSE29 TS DSIPTD P0008 T02390222 $
    StationKMIA at Sun Nov 1, 2:30 PM EST
    Lightning0 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 3:00 PM
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 20:00 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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