tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 228 h staleForecast cycle 62 minLightning 228 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (228 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (228 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Major Resolved Delay MIA arrivals

Miami arrival delays worsen: 70% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
Create monitor View MIAFlights at MIA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Miami arrivals running late: 44% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 18 arrivals that landed between 12:53 PM and 1:53 PM EST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:53 PM–1:53 PM EST
    Sample18 flights, 8 late (44%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay4.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 18:53 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Miami arrival delays worsen: 65% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 44% → 65%

    Of 17 arrivals that landed between 3:25 PM and 4:25 PM EST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:25 PM–4:25 PM EST
    Sample17 flights, 11 late (65%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay16.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 21:25 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Miami arrival delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 65% → 58%

    Of 31 arrivals that landed between 4:17 PM and 5:17 PM EST, 18 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:17 PM–5:17 PM EST
    Sample31 flights, 18 late (58%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay22.6 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 22:17 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    Miami arrival delays worsen: 70% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 58% → 70%

    Of 33 arrivals that landed between 5:12 PM and 6:12 PM EST, 23 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:12 PM–6:12 PM EST
    Sample33 flights, 23 late (70%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay34.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 23:12 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Mon Nov 2, 6:52 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.