National aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 27 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 7:23 PM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National: 10 of 30 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 41 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 5:07 PM and 6:37 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 30. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 5:07 PM–6:37 PM EST · 41 departures, aircraft known for 30 Tight turns 10 (33%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 6 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest OH 5493 to BDL at 6:04 PM: aircraft N614NN, inbound JIA5254 from HPN (airborne), -5 min to turn Tightest WN 1528 to MCI at 5:39 PM: aircraft N486WN, inbound WN 1499 from MDW (airborne), -3 min to turn Tightest AA 668 to LAX at 5:09 PM: aircraft N348TU, inbound AA 789 from PHX (landed), 11 min to turn Tightest YX 4781 to JFK at 5:13 PM: aircraft N433YX, inbound YX 4732 from ECP (landed), 13 min to turn Tightest MQ 3627 to LIT at 5:09 PM: aircraft N210NN, inbound MQ 3349 from SAV (landed), 16 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 22:07 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 27 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 33% at worst → 7% now
Of the 42 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 7:23 PM and 8:53 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 27. For 2 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 7:23 PM–8:53 PM EST · 42 departures, aircraft known for 27 Tight turns 2 (7%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 1 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest AA 696 to CLT at 7:25 PM: aircraft N709UW, inbound AA 612 from CLT (landed), 6 min to turn Tightest WN 1519 to DAL at 8:28 PM: aircraft N947WN, inbound WN 3369 from MDW (airborne), 18 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 00:23 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?