tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 224 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 224 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 2 min

FAA NAS status is stale (224 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (224 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay DCA departures

National departures back near normal: 20% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 11:15 AM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    National departures running late: 47% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 30 departures that took off between 9:00 AM and 10:00 AM EST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:00 AM–10:00 AM EST
    Sample30 flights, 14 late (47%)
    Comparison19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour
    Median delay13.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 15:00 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    National departures back near normal: 20% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 47% at worst → 20% now

    Of 25 departures that took off between 10:14 AM and 11:14 AM EST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:14 AM–11:14 AM EST
    Sample25 flights, 5 late (20%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay-10.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 16:15 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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