National aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 24 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 7:03 PM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National: 8 of 28 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 43 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 1:20 PM and 2:50 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 28. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 1:20 PM–2:50 PM EST · 43 departures, aircraft known for 28 Tight turns 8 (29%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 3 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest OO 5232 to IAH at 2:24 PM: aircraft N164SY, inbound OO 5548 from IAH (airborne), 2 min to turn Tightest YX 4394 to RDU at 1:26 PM: aircraft N439YX, inbound YX 4718 from SDF (landed), 19 min to turn Tightest WN 1527 to MCI at 1:30 PM: aircraft N555LV, inbound WN 978 from MSY (landed), 21 min to turn Tightest YX 4769 to STL at 1:38 PM: aircraft N106HQ, inbound YX 4667 from CHS (landed), 21 min to turn Tightest WN 754 to STL at 2:38 PM: aircraft N8511K, inbound WN 4845 from DAL (airborne), 22 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 18:21 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 24 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 38% at worst → 8% now
Of the 34 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 7:03 PM and 8:33 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 24. For 2 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 7:03 PM–8:33 PM EST · 34 departures, aircraft known for 24 Tight turns 2 (8%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 2 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 1519 to DAL at 8:29 PM: aircraft N457WN, inbound WN 3369 from MDW (airborne), 30 min to turn Tightest OH 5278 to IAH at 7:42 PM: aircraft N510AE, inbound JIA5401 from HPN (airborne), 32 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-03 00:03 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?