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Observed Significant Resolved Delay TPA arrivals

Tampa arrivals back near normal: 29% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 8:44 PM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Tampa arrivals running late: 60% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 15 arrivals that landed between 6:14 PM and 7:14 PM EST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:14 PM–7:14 PM EST
    Sample15 flights, 9 late (60%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay22.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 00:14 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. De-escalation Observed

    Tampa arrival delays ease: 47% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 60% → 47%

    Of 15 arrivals that landed between 6:47 PM and 7:47 PM EST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:47 PM–7:47 PM EST
    Sample15 flights, 7 late (47%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay12.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 00:47 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. Recovery Observed

    Tampa arrivals back near normal: 29% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 69% at worst → 29% now

    Of 14 arrivals that landed between 7:44 PM and 8:44 PM EST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:44 PM–8:44 PM EST
    Sample14 flights, 4 late (29%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay7.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 01:44 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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