tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Major Resolved Delay MCO departures

MCO departure delays worsen: 81% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View MCOFlights at MCO

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    MCO departures running late: 50% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 24 departures that took off between 11:26 AM and 12:26 PM EST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. MCO typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:26 AM–12:26 PM EST
    Sample24 flights, 12 late (50%)
    Comparison20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour
    Median delay15.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-06 17:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    MCO departure delays worsen: 81% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 50% → 81%

    Of 31 departures that took off between 7:52 PM and 8:52 PM EST, 25 left at least 15 minutes late. MCO typically sees 45% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:52 PM–8:52 PM EST
    Sample31 flights, 25 late (81%)
    Comparison45% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour
    Median delay31.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 01:52 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 7, 6:12 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.