tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Significant Resolved Delay RDU arrivals

Raleigh/Durham arrival delays ease: 53% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View RDUFlights at RDU

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Raleigh/Durham arrivals running late: 57% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 14 arrivals that landed between 3:27 PM and 4:27 PM EST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Raleigh/Durham arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:27 PM–4:27 PM EST
    Sample14 flights, 8 late (57%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay25.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-06 21:27 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Raleigh/Durham arrival delays worsen: 62% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 57% → 62%

    Of 13 arrivals that landed between 10:41 PM and 11:41 PM EST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Raleigh/Durham arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:41 PM–11:41 PM EST
    Sample13 flights, 8 late (62%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay39.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 04:41 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Raleigh/Durham arrival delays ease: 53% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 62% → 53%

    Of 15 arrivals that landed between 11:01 PM and 12:01 AM EST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Raleigh/Durham arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:01 PM–12:01 AM EST
    Sample15 flights, 8 late (53%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay39.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 05:01 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 7, 6:26 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.