Model lowers expected cancellations among JFK departures 6–9 PM Friday to about 3
- Current state
- Resolved at 5:56 PM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
-
Initial Forecast
Model expects about 5 cancellations among JFK departures 6–9 PM Friday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 96 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target JFK departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-06 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.2 over 96 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST · 1.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-06 21:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among JFK departures 6–9 PM Friday to about 3
What changed: about 5 → 3
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 96 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target JFK departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-06 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~2.7 over 96 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM EST · 0.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-06 22:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?