JFK arrivals back near normal: 6% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:38 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 6
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
JFK arrivals running late: 79% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 14 arrivals that landed between 8:27 AM and 9:27 AM EST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:27 AM–9:27 AM EST Sample 14 flights, 11 late (79%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 32.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-06 14:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
JFK arrival delays ease: 54% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 79% → 54%
Of 28 arrivals that landed between 2:34 PM and 3:34 PM EST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 2:34 PM–3:34 PM EST Sample 28 flights, 15 late (54%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 21.2 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-06 20:34 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
JFK arrival delays worsen: 70% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 54% → 70%
Of 27 arrivals that landed between 3:11 PM and 4:11 PM EST, 19 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 3:11 PM–4:11 PM EST Sample 27 flights, 19 late (70%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 33.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-06 21:11 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
JFK arrival delays ease: 53% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 70% → 53%
Of 15 arrivals that landed between 11:01 PM and 12:01 AM EST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:01 PM–12:01 AM EST Sample 15 flights, 8 late (53%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 19.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 05:01 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
JFK arrival delays worsen: 64% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 53% → 64%
Of 14 arrivals that landed between 11:57 PM and 12:57 AM EST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:57 PM–12:57 AM EST Sample 14 flights, 9 late (64%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 49.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 05:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
JFK arrivals back near normal: 6% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 93% at worst → 6% now
Of 18 arrivals that landed between 5:38 AM and 6:38 AM EST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:38 AM–6:38 AM EST Sample 18 flights, 1 late (6%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -5.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 11:38 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?