tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 3 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 1 hLightning 1 minWeather observations 5 minFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min
Forecast Significant Resolved Delay DAL departures

Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Tuesday to 22%, near normal

Current state
Resolved at 4:06 AM CST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View DALFlights at DAL

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model forecasts 48% delay risk for Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Tuesday

    Tailodds’ model gives the 39 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Tuesday an average 48% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 15%. From the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-10 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)48% over 39 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonTue Nov 10, 1:00 AM CST · 6.5 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-10 08:28 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?
  2. Resolution Forecast

    Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Tuesday to 22%, near normal

    What changed: 48% → 22%; calm-weather level 15%

    Tailodds’ model gives the 39 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Tuesday an average 22% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 15%. From the 3:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-10 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)22% over 39 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonTue Nov 10, 3:00 AM CST · 4.9 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-10 10:06 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?