tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 66 minLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Forecast Significant New Cancellation SFO departures

Model expects about 10 cancellations among SFO departures noon–3 PM Friday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 10 cancellations among SFO departures noon–3 PM Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 118 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetSFO departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~10.3 over 118 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonThu Nov 12, 1:00 PM PST · 22.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-12 21:58 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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