Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 67%, near normal
- Current state
- Resolved at 8:57 PM CST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model forecasts 72% delay risk for Love Field departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday
Tailodds’ model gives the 25 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 72% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 55%. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 72% over 25 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Thu Nov 12, 5:00 PM CST · 3.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-12 23:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 67%, near normal
What changed: 72% → 67%; calm-weather level 61%
Tailodds’ model gives the 25 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 67% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 61%. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 67% over 25 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM CST · 0.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 02:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?