tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 224 h staleForecast cycle 87 minLightning 224 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 2 min

FAA NAS status is stale (224 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (224 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Forecast Major New Cancellation PHL departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Philadelphia departures 9 AM–noon Friday

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Create monitor View PHLFlights at PHL

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among Philadelphia departures 9 AM–noon Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 64 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetPHL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.5 over 64 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 5:00 AM EST · 3.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 10:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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