tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 224 h staleForecast cycle 62 minLightning 223 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min

FAA NAS status is stale (224 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (223 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Forecast Major New Cancellation PHL departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among Philadelphia departures noon–3 PM Friday

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Create monitor View PHLFlights at PHL

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 7 cancellations among Philadelphia departures noon–3 PM Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 57 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetPHL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.4 over 57 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 5:00 AM EST · 6.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 10:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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