tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Major Resolved Delay SAN arrivals

San Diego arrival delays worsen: 62% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View SANFlights at SAN

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    San Diego arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 20 arrivals that landed between 5:44 PM and 6:44 PM PDT, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 26% of arrivals at San Diego arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:44 PM–6:44 PM PDT
    Sample20 flights, 10 late (50%)
    Comparison26% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay20.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-19 01:44 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    San Diego arrival delays worsen: 62% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 50% → 62%

    Of 24 arrivals that landed between 8:04 PM and 9:04 PM PDT, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 26% of arrivals at San Diego arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window8:04 PM–9:04 PM PDT
    Sample24 flights, 15 late (62%)
    Comparison26% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay26.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-19 04:05 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Mon Oct 19, 6:24 AM PDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.