tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 70 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 1 minFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 5 min
Forecast Significant Resolved Cancellation PHX departures

Model expects about 8 cancellations among Phoenix departures 3–6 PM Friday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Create monitor View PHXFlights at PHX

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 8 cancellations among Phoenix departures 3–6 PM Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 113 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Friday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetPHX departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.6 over 113 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 2:00 PM MST · 0.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 21:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 13, 3:01 PM MST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.