Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Miami departures 6–9 AM Saturday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 8 cancellations among Miami departures 6–9 AM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 84 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target MIA departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~7.6 over 84 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM EST · 8.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 02:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 12 among Miami departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 8 → 12 expected cancellations since the 9:00 PM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 84 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target MIA departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~11.7 over 84 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 10:00 PM EST · 7.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 03:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 8 among Miami departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 12 → 8 expected cancellations since the 10:00 PM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 84 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 12:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target MIA departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~8.5 over 84 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM EST · 5.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 05:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 8 among Miami departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 8 → 8 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 84 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target MIA departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~7.6 over 84 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM EST · 2.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Miami departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 8 → 11 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 84 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target MIA departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~10.9 over 84 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 3:00 AM EST · 2.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 08:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?