tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 2 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 88 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 4 minFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation LAS departures

Model expects about 11 cancellations among Las Vegas departures midnight–3 AM Saturday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 11 cancellations among Las Vegas departures midnight–3 AM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 24 departures scheduled midnight–3 AM Saturday to be cancelled (47%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetLAS departures midnight–3 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~11.2 over 24 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 10:00 PM PST · 1.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 06:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM PST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.