tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 4 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 1 hLightning 1 minWeather observations 3 minFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 2 min
Forecast Major New Cancellation PHL departures

Model expects about 21 cancellations among Philadelphia departures 3–6 PM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 21 cancellations among Philadelphia departures 3–6 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 21 of the 65 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (32%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetPHL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~21.0 over 65 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 5:00 AM EST · 9.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 10:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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