tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 4 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 63 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 3 minFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 6 min
Forecast Major New Delay FLL departures

Model forecasts 61% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Saturday

Current state
New
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View FLLFlights at FLL

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model forecasts 61% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Saturday

    Tailodds’ model gives the 49 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Saturday an average 61% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetFLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)61% over 49 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 5:00 AM EST · 9.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 10:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?