Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Monday to 29%, near normal
- Current state
- Resolved at 3:56 AM CDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model forecasts 52% delay risk for Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Monday
Tailodds’ model gives the 37 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Monday an average 52% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 13%. From the 2:00 AM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-10-19 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 52% over 37 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Oct 19, 2:00 AM CDT · 5.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Monday to 29%, near normal
What changed: 52% → 29%; calm-weather level 13%
Tailodds’ model gives the 37 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Monday an average 29% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 13%. From the 3:00 AM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-10-19 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 29% over 37 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Oct 19, 3:00 AM CDT · 5.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 08:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?